Primary market inventory is higher than sales, but not every part moves the same
You walk into a coffee shop and the line is out the door. Your neighbor walks into the one two blocks over and gets served in two minutes. Same town. Different story. That is Primary market right now. 🙂
The Real Estate Data Aggregator counted 567 homes for sale and 450 sold across Primary market in the three months ending August 31, 2026. More homes sitting than selling, on paper. But that headline hides a wide range.
The range is the real story
The National Association of Realtors put the U.S. at 4.9 months of supply, the highest in over ten years. Primary market sits on both sides of that number at once.
The Real Estate Data Aggregator shows 37379 at 2.5 months of supply. That is tight. Homes there sold in a median 34 days, 14 days faster than a year ago. Sales were up 16.5% year over year.
Then there is 37332, at 13.3 months of supply. The Real Estate Data Aggregator counted only 3 homes sold there in the same period, against 13 for sale. No homes sold above list price. Zero went under contract within two weeks.
What the tight end looks like
In 37379, the Real Estate Data Aggregator counted 162 homes sold, a median price of $407,500, up 8.7% from a year ago. Sellers got 98.3% of list price on average. Nearly 1 in 3 homes went under contract within two weeks.
In 37373, sellers got 106.2% of list price on average, according to the Real Estate Data Aggregator. Three in ten homes sold above list. Median days on market: 18. Bold numbers. But only 10 homes sold, so read those with some caution.
What the slow end looks like
In 37338, the Real Estate Data Aggregator found 6 homes sold, a median price of $185,000, and 10.7 months of supply. Sellers got 94.5% of list on average. Not one home went under contract within two weeks.
In 37327, the median sale price slipped 8.3% year over year to $337,500, per the Real Estate Data Aggregator. Homes sat a median 99 days. That is the longest of any ZIP in this market for this period.
In 37381, homes for sale jumped 63.9% from a year ago while sales fell 31.9%, the Real Estate Data Aggregator shows. Months of supply rose 3.4 months to 5.7. The median price fell 14.5%.
Rates are making every decision harder
Freddie Mac put the average 30-year fixed rate at 7.40% as of October 8, 2026. The 15-year averaged 6.73%. Rates this high slow buyers down everywhere, but they hit the slower ZIPs harder.
Realtor.com reported active listings up 6.7% from a year ago nationally as of October 8, 2026. Primary market is seeing the same pull. More listings, but not always more buyers to match.
Prices: a split picture
Some ZIPs gained. The Real Estate Data Aggregator shows 37367 up 22.6% in median price year over year, to $350,000. That is a real move, though sales there fell 25% in the same period.
Others gave back ground. The Real Estate Data Aggregator shows 37308 down 8.5% to $355,000, and 37321 down 2.4% to $299,250. Prices dipped. Not every seller got the number they expected.
Speed: also not one story
The Real Estate Data Aggregator shows 37373 at 18 median days on market. Then 37327 at 99 days. That is the same market. Pricing and condition explain most of that gap.
- 13737318 days
- 23737934 days
- 33738146 days
- 43734150 days
- 53732253 days
- 63733854 days
- 73730859 days
- 83732162 days
- 93736769 days
- 103732799 days
- Primary market is not one market.
- The Real Estate Data Aggregator counted 567 homes for sale and 450 sold in the three months ending August 31, 2026. Months of supply run from 2.5 in 37379 to 13.3 in 37332. Freddie Mac put the 30-year rate at 7.40% as of October 8, 2026. Pricing to your ZIP, not the overall market, is the move that matters most right now.
The whole market number is a starting point. One street can read very differently from the ZIP code around it. If you want to know where your address actually sits in this range, send me a note.
Your next step
(423) 342-5790Text me your address and I will send back where your Primary market home sits on that 2.5 to 13.3 months of supply range, and what homes near you actually sold for. Takes a day, costs nothing.
Text me- Real Estate Data Aggregator numbers for ZIPs 37321, 37381, 37332, 37367, 37379, 37338, 37373, 37327, 37322, 37308 and 37341, the three months ending August 31, 2026, compared with the same months of 2025. Real Estate Data Aggregator last updated them on Oct 7, 2026.
- Freddie Mac: Mortgage Rates, read Oct 10, 2026
- National Association of Realtors: Existing-Home Sales, read Oct 10, 2026
- Redfin: One in Five Home Sellers Cut Prices as Buyer’s Market Persists, Sep 30, 2026
- Realtor.com: Weekly Housing Trends: U.S. Market Update (Week Ending Oct. 3, 2026), Oct 8, 2026
- CNBC: High mortgage rates are trapping homeowners in place, and making renovations harder to afford, Oct 3, 2026
- Federal Housing Finance Agency: FHFA House Price Index® Up 0.3 Percent in July; Up 2.6 Percent from Last Year | FHFA, Sep 29, 2026
